Tightening Supply Risks Likely to Support Palm Oil Prices

Dow Jones
3 hours ago

0111 GMT - Crude palm oil prices could range between 4,400 ringgit a ton and 4,600 ringgit a ton near term, driven by favorable biofuel economics, strengthening El Nino conditions, and tighter global vegetable oil supply, CIMB Securities analyst Ivy Ng Lee Fang says in a note. Elevated energy prices are improving biodiesel economics, supporting demand for palm oil, while dry weather in Malaysia and Indonesia could weigh on production from 2027, she reckons. Reduced sunflower-oil exports from Russia and Ukraine could also encourage substitution towards palm oil. However, high Malaysian inventories may cap near-term gains, she adds. CIMB maintains an overweight rating on Malaysian plantation sector, pegging IOI Corp., Kuala Lumpur Kepong and Hap Seng Plantations as its top picks.

 

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