Movement Alert|Tyson Intraday Decline 6.08%, Second Guidance Cut This Fiscal Year Amid Historic Cattle Supply Shortage

Market Focus
Sep 03

On September 3, Tyson fell 6.08% in regular trading, trading at $52.37 USD/share, with Turnover of $9.77 million. The decline was triggered by the company's second downward revision to its full-year guidance within this fiscal year.

Tyson now expects fiscal-year revenue growth of just 1.5% to 2.0%, narrowed from the prior 2.5% to 3.5% range. Adjusted operating profit guidance was also lowered to $18.5 billion to $20.5 billion, down meaningfully from the previous $21 billion to $23 billion forecast. The company had already cut its outlook in early August, when Q3 sales of $13.87 billion missed the $14.07 billion consensus estimate.

The guidance reduction reflects severe margin compression in the beef segment, driven by volatile live cattle prices and one of the most acute cattle supply shortages in U.S. history. Beef procurement costs surged $575 million year-over-year last quarter, while beef volumes declined 16%. To adapt, Tyson has closed plants in Illinois and Utah, is divesting its Washington state facility, and is consolidating beef operations around three core sites in Nebraska, Kansas, and Texas. Management noted that the resumption of Mexican live cattle imports is unlikely to meaningfully benefit results until fiscal 2027.

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